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Opinion and economic analysis

Date: 03/01/2025
Author: Francisco Massó Mora

WHERE TO INVEST IN 2025: A YEAR TO BET ON EQUITIES.

From my perspective, we are witnessing a structural shift in the dynamics of saving and investing, reflecting both the evolution of financial markets and the growing influence of external factors, such as monetary policy and technological regulation.

The decreasing appeal of fixed income is not surprising. The high yields it offered during 2023 and part of 2024 were a direct consequence of the high interest rates imposed by the European Central Bank (ECB) in the context of an economic crisis. However, as anticipated, the economic recovery has led to a monetary easing that is gradually eroding the profitability of these instruments. In this sense, I believe that those who took advantage of fixed income opportunities at their peak acted with prudence and strategic foresight. However, maintaining a passive stance in this segment throughout 2025 could be a mistake, as the return potential will become increasingly limited.

Cryptocurrencies, while promising and backed by regulatory advances such as the MiCA Regulation in Europe, remain extremely volatile and complex. The entry of large financial institutions and political backing in key markets such as the United States certainly adds legitimacy to the sector, but it does not eliminate its speculative nature. From my point of view, investing in cryptocurrencies can be a valid strategy for those with an aggressive risk profile and advanced knowledge. However, for the average or conservative investor, this option could be counterproductive if not managed with caution. It is crucial to remember that optimistic outlooks do not guarantee positive outcomes; financial markets tend to react unpredictably, even in the face of the most solid fundamentals.

In my opinion, the shift toward equities should not be interpreted as an invitation to completely abandon fixed income or to dive headlong into the crypto market. Rather, I believe 2025 will be a year to strengthen diversification in investment portfolios. Sectoral ETFs or strategic stocks can offer a balance between risk and return for those seeking alternatives to fixed income without taking on the extreme risks associated with cryptocurrencies.

Undoubtedly, 2025 will be a challenging year, but also one full of opportunities for those who know how to adapt to the new market conditions. The decline in fixed income returns and the rise of equities reflect a natural transition in the economic and financial cycle. However, this transition also highlights the importance of acting with prudence and knowledge. As an economist, I always recommend prioritizing strategies based on solid data, smart diversification, and an honest assessment of one’s own investor profile before making significant financial decisions.


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