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‘GREEN’ COMPANIES WILL RISE 33% THIS YEAR, TEN POINTS MORE THAN ‘BROWN’ COMPANIES.
The index tracking renewable energy stocks plummeted by 26% in 2024. This trend does not surprise me at all, and in fact, I consider it quite predictable given the current context. Several key factors are driving this differential growth in favor of “green” companies.
First, we are witnessing a significant shift in government policies worldwide. Since the Paris Agreement, and especially in recent years, governments have intensified their efforts to combat climate change. This has resulted in stricter regulations for polluting industries, while at the same time, providing substantial incentives for companies that adopt sustainable practices. For example, many post-COVID stimulus packages have placed special emphasis on “green recovery.”
Furthermore, the capital markets are undergoing a transformation. Investors, particularly institutional ones, are increasingly aware of the risks associated with climate change and are redirecting their funds towards companies with better environmental credentials. This is not just due to ethical considerations, but also the perception that ‘green’ companies are better positioned for the long-term future.
Another crucial factor is the shift in consumer preferences. Environmental awareness is rising, especially among younger generations. This translates into higher demand for sustainable products and services, which naturally benefits “green” companies.
We must also consider the aspect of technological innovation. Many “green” companies are at the forefront of technological development, particularly in areas like renewable energy, energy storage, and energy efficiency. These innovations not only improve their competitiveness but also open up new markets and growth opportunities.
Finally, we cannot ignore the risk factor. “Brown” companies, especially those in carbon-intensive industries, face growing risks. These include potential “stranded assets,” higher operational costs due to stricter regulations, and a potential loss of brand value.
This 33% growth differential for “green” companies compared to the 23% for “brown” companies reflects a confluence of regulatory, financial, market, and technological factors. It is a clear indicator that the transition to a more sustainable economy is not just a passing trend but a structural change in our global economy. Companies that fail to adapt to this new reality risk falling behind in the coming years.